Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 0.027491 0.029556 0.031631 0.033872 0.036219 0.038603 0.041205
2026-01-11 0.023480 0.026693 0.030044 0.033788 0.037841 0.042086 0.046855
2026-01-18 0.021510 0.025438 0.029641 0.034447 0.039764 0.045443 0.051942
2026-01-25 0.019570 0.023965 0.028772 0.034380 0.040698 0.047557 0.055526
2026-02-01 0.018002 0.022752 0.028052 0.034343 0.041544 0.049472 0.058798
2026-02-08 0.016642 0.021665 0.027373 0.034258 0.042251 0.051160 0.061758
2026-02-15 0.015436 0.020669 0.026723 0.034132 0.042849 0.052673 0.064477
2026-02-22 0.014412 0.019823 0.026186 0.034084 0.043488 0.054195 0.067177
2026-03-01 0.013332 0.018844 0.025435 0.033728 0.043719 0.055209 0.069261
2026-03-08 0.012183 0.017716 0.024445 0.033032 0.043500 0.055658 0.070656
2026-03-15 0.011147 0.016675 0.023512 0.032358 0.043264 0.056053 0.071958
2026-03-22 0.010814 0.016522 0.023674 0.033018 0.044637 0.058354 0.075511
2026-03-29 0.010159 0.015950 0.023323 0.033080 0.045338 0.059932 0.078319
2026-04-05 0.009464 0.015299 0.022855 0.032986 0.045853 0.061306 0.080919
2026-04-12 0.009130 0.015118 0.022980 0.033635 0.047283 0.063788 0.084856
2026-04-19 0.008545 0.014553 0.022569 0.033569 0.047797 0.065138 0.087417
2026-04-26 0.008016 0.014037 0.022199 0.033533 0.048331 0.066501 0.089989
2026-05-03 0.007509 0.013524 0.021809 0.033449 0.048787 0.067757 0.092423
2026-05-10 0.007025 0.013018 0.021405 0.033325 0.049177 0.068919 0.094738
2026-05-17 0.006601 0.012577 0.021070 0.033278 0.049652 0.070181 0.097173
2026-05-24 0.006110 0.012005 0.020528 0.032928 0.049713 0.070905 0.098930
2026-05-31 0.005553 0.011298 0.019763 0.032243 0.049308 0.071020 0.099909
2026-06-07 0.005044 0.010635 0.019033 0.031580 0.048909 0.071122 0.100857